Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beselidhja Lezha vs Besa Kavaje

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ogungbire G.
45' Event
Bilali S.
79' Event
Prengaj F.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë game between Beselidhja Lezha and Besa Kavaje finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beselidhja Lezha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Beselidhja Lezha
30%
Draws
47%
Besa Kavaje
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Besa Kavaje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Besa Kavaje are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 20%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beselidhja Lezha Besa Kavaje
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.53 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Besa Kavaje
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Beselidhja Lezha
2:0
Sep 10, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Besa Kavaje
2:1
Apr 30, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Besa Kavaje
2:1
Dec 19, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Beselidhja Lezha
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogungbire G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bilali S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Besa Kavaje Compare

Top Goalscorer Prengaj F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beselidhja Lezha 10 / 100
Besa Kavaje 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beselidhja Lezha Besa Kavaje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa Kavaje let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Beselidhja Lezha went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Beselidhja Lezha scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Beselidhja Lezha VS Besa Kavaje
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beselidhja Lezha

(Home)
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Bylis
0 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
12 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
1 : 2
Korabi Peshkopi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
08 Aug
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
Page 1 of 6

Besa Kavaje

(Away)
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)