Sport Picks

Albania

First Division 2022/2023

Skenderbeu Korca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Beselidhja Lezha play Skenderbeu Korca in the First Division 2022/2023. Skenderbeu Korca are favorites here. Recently, Beselidhja Lezha averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Skenderbeu Korca averaged 1.66 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Beselidhja Lezha won 0, Skenderbeu Korca won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 18, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Beselidhja Lezha and 1.36 for Skenderbeu Korca. This points to a Skenderbeu Korca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Beselidhja Lezha

29%

Draws

58%

Skenderbeu Korca

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Skenderbeu Korca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Beselidhja Lezha picked up more points recently compared to Skenderbeu Korca.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 18%

Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Beselidhja Lezha	Skenderbeu Korca
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	3	20
Draws	8	7
Losses	19	5
Goals Scored	0.6	1.66
Goals Conceded	1.67	0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Beselidhja Lezha vs Skenderbeu Korca

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Oct 23, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Skenderbeu Korca vs Beselidhja Lezha

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Feb 6, 2019 Albanian Cup

Skenderbeu Korca vs Beselidhja Lezha

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Jan 22, 2019 Albanian Cup

Beselidhja Lezha vs Skenderbeu Korca

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Dec 13, 2017 Albanian Cup

Skenderbeu Korca vs Beselidhja Lezha

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beselidhja Lezha 15 / 100

Skenderbeu Korca 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Beselidhja Lezha Skenderbeu Korca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skenderbeu Korca Win (2)

Secondary Pick Skenderbeu Korca & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Beselidhja Lezha attacking → ← attacking Skenderbeu Korca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beselidhja Lezha scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Skenderbeu Korca let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Beselidhja Lezha went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Skenderbeu Korca lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 67

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Skenderbeu Korca	26	13	10	3	37:13	49
2	Dinamo Tirana	26	14	5	7	48:23	47
3	Flamurtari	26	13	7	6	40:16	46
4	Tomori Berat	26	13	4	9	29:27	43
5	Korabi Peshkopi	26	10	9	7	32:24	39
6	Apolonia Fier	26	10	8	8	31:30	38
7	Luzi	26	10	8	8	31:26	38
8	Besa Kavaje	26	10	7	9	32:26	37
9	Lushnja	26	8	8	10	30:42	32
10	Burreli	26	7	10	9	22:29	31
11	KF Oriku	26	9	3	14	27:33	30
12	Turbina Cerrik	26	7	5	14	24:45	26
13	Beselidhja Lezha	26	3	8	15	17:41	14
14	Terbuni Puka	26	6	6	14	16:41	24