Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besiktas vs Alanyaspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Tupras Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Toure E. B.
Assist: Oh Hyeon-Gyu
46'
Sub
Yalcin G. In: Mounie S.
Out: Yalcin G.
65'
Sub
Cerny V. In: Rashica M.
Out: Cerny V.

AI Match Summary

Besiktas in this Turkish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Besiktas
15%
Draws
39%
Alanyaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besiktas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Besiktas lately — more wins on the board than Alanyaspor.
  • Model gives Besiktas a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Besiktas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Besiktas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 20%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besiktas Alanyaspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Besiktas
1:0
Apr 23, 2026 Turkish Cup
Besiktas vs Alanyaspor
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Alanyaspor
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Besiktas
2:0
May 18, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Besiktas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besiktas Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure E. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oh Hyeon-Gyu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Alanyaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besiktas 85 / 100
Alanyaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besiktas Alanyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besiktas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Besiktas scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Alanyaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Besiktas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Besiktas VS Alanyaspor
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Besiktas

(Home)
20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2
Besiktas
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1
Marseille
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
31 Aug
Besiktas
6 : 2
Corum FK
Page 1 of 6

Alanyaspor

(Away)
19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2
Alanyaspor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Goztepe
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1
Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1 : 0
Besiktas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Galatasaray 0
Genclerbirligi 2
Samsunspor 0
Trabzonspor 1
Besiktas 3
Alanyaspor 0
Konyaspor 1
Fenerbahce 0
Semi-finals
Genclerbirligi 1
Trabzonspor 2
Besiktas 0
Konyaspor 1
Final
Trabzonspor 2
Konyaspor 1