Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bethlehem Steel FC vs Birmingham Legion

USA USA

USL Championship 2019 Goodman Stadium, Bethlehem, PA
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kassim P.
Assist: Ward A.
36'
Lopez M.
42'
Sergio Santos

AI Match Summary

Birmingham Legion in this USL Championship 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Birmingham Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bethlehem Steel FC
6%
Draws
90%
Birmingham Legion
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Birmingham Legion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Birmingham Legion have won more games recently than Bethlehem Steel FC.
  • Model gives Birmingham Legion a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bethlehem Steel FC Clean Sheet 20%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bethlehem Steel FC Birmingham Legion
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 13
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2019 USL Championship
Bethlehem Steel FC vs Birmingham Legion
2:3
Mar 10, 2019 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Bethlehem Steel FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bethlehem Steel FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngalina M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Birmingham Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassim P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bethlehem Steel FC 10 / 100
Birmingham Legion 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bethlehem Steel FC Birmingham Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bethlehem Steel FC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Birmingham Legion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Bethlehem Steel FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Birmingham Legion
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bethlehem Steel FC

(Home)
19 Oct
Charleston
5 : 1
Bethlehem Steel FC
12 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 1
Bethlehem Steel FC
09 Oct
Atlanta United 2
5 : 2
Bethlehem Steel FC
06 Oct
Bethlehem Steel FC
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
29 Sept
Memphis 901
5 : 0
Bethlehem Steel FC
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham Legion

(Away)
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
FC Tulsa
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1
Birmingham Legion
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2
Detroit City
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1
Loudoun United
17 Jun
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pittsburgh Riverhounds341911458:3068
2Nashville SC34207759:2667
3Indy Eleven34196948:2963
4Louisville City34179858:4160
5Tampa Bay341610861:3358
6New York Red Bulls II341761174:5157
7North Carolina FC341681057:3756
8Ottawa Fury3414101050:4352
9Charleston3411131044:4446
10Birmingham Legion341271535:5143
11St. Louis FC341191440:4142
12Loudoun United341161759:6539
13Charlotte Independence349111442:5338
14Atlanta United 234981745:7735
15Memphis 90134971837:5234
16Bethlehem Steel FC34871949:7831
17Hartford Athletic34852149:8029
18Sporting Kansas City II34682046:8026
Promotion - USL Championship 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Phoenix Rising34246489:3678
2Reno 1868341861072:5160
3Monterey Bay34169958:4457
4Real Monarchs341681071:5356
5Orange County SC341591054:4354
6El Paso Locomotive3413111042:3650
7Sacramento Republic341461450:4348
8Austin Bold341391253:5248
9Ventura County3412121059:6248
10New Mexico3411131059:5746
11San Antonio FC341291362:5745
12Rio Grande Valley FC Toros341181550:5841
13Las Vegas Lights341181546:5641
14Portland Timbers 2341081665:7138
15Oklahoma City Energy FC349111445:5838
16FC Tulsa348101645:6934
17Tacoma Defiance34871942:8231
18Colorado Springs34762131:6527
Promotion - USL Championship 2019 (Play Offs)