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Betlemi Keda vs Merani Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Muzashvili T.
48' Event
Todua L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Betlemi Keda and Merani Tbilisi finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Betlemi Keda
15%
Draws
69%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Merani Tbilisi taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Betlemi Keda Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Merani Tbilisi
0:2
Mar 25, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda
5:0
Nov 28, 2025 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Merani Tbilisi
4:0
Jun 24, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda
9:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Betlemi Keda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzashvili T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Todua L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Betlemi Keda 10 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Betlemi Keda Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Merani Tbilisi let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Betlemi Keda's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Betlemi Keda has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Betlemi Keda VS Merani Tbilisi
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Betlemi Keda

(Home)
17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2
Betlemi Keda
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
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Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)