Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samegrelo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Samegrelo lately — more wins on the board than Betlemi Keda.
- Win probability leans Samegrelo's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 17%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Betlemi Keda | Samegrelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.42 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 21, 2018 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Samegrelo
1:0
Jun 25, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Betlemi Keda
1:3
Jun 25, 2017 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Samegrelo
1:1
Apr 20, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Betlemi Keda
2:2
May 16, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samegrelo vs Betlemi Keda
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Betlemi Keda 10 / 100
Samegrelo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Betlemi Keda Samegrelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Samegrelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samegrelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Samegrelo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Betlemi Keda's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Betlemi Keda VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Betlemi Keda
(Home) 13 Aug
Didube
5 : 0 Betlemi Keda
06 Aug
Betlemi Keda
1 : 1 Orbi
26 Jun
Iveria Khashuri
5 : 4 Betlemi Keda
21 Jun
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2 WIT Georgia
15 Jun
FC Tbilisi 2025
7 : 1 Betlemi Keda
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06 Aug
Betlemi Keda
1 : 1 Orbi
21 Jun
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2 WIT Georgia
02 Jun
Betlemi Keda
2 : 2 Khobi
28 May
Betlemi Keda
0 : 3 Dinamo Tbilisi 2
14 May
Betlemi Keda
0 : 1 Iberia 1999 2
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Samegrelo
(Away) 07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3 Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3 Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1 Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0 FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0 Samegrelo
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06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1 Samegrelo
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0 Samegrelo
06 Nov
Khoni
1 : 1 Samegrelo
23 Oct
FC Gardabani
1 : 5 Samegrelo
08 Oct
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 1 Samegrelo
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shevardeni Tbilisi | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 36:19 | 37 |
| 2 | Telavi | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Merani Tbilisi | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 39:24 | 33 |
| 4 | Mark Stars Tbilisi | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 31:29 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Gardabani | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 23 |
| 6 | Gori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Algeti Marneuli | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | 23 |
| 8 | Borjomi | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | 22 |
| 9 | Chkherimela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 10 | Liakhvi Tskhinvali | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17:47 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiatura | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 32:14 | 40 |
| 2 | Khoni | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 20:10 | 33 |
| 3 | FC Kolkheti Khobi | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Betlemi Keda | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 34:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Samegrelo | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Sulori Vani | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Margveti 2006 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:28 | 21 |
| 8 | Skuri Tsalenjikha | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Odishi 1919 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Sapovnela Terjola | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 7:31 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)
