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Bezana vs CD Tropezon

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gago R.
81'
Juan Martin
85' Event
Madrono J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Bezana and CD Tropezon finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tropezon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bezana
15%
Draws
46%
CD Tropezon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • CD Tropezon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bezana a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Bezana Clean Sheet 68%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana CD Tropezon
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs CD Tropezon
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Bezana
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs CD Tropezon
1:3
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Bezana
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Bezana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

CD Tropezon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gago R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madrono J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 50 / 100
CD Tropezon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana CD Tropezon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bezana's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Bezana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: CD Tropezon conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS CD Tropezon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
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CD Tropezon

(Away)
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
06 Jun
CD Laredo
0 : 1
CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)