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Bezana vs CD Tropezon

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gago R.
81'
Juan Martin
85' Event
Madrono J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Bezana and CD Tropezon finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tropezon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bezana
39%
Draws
31%
CD Tropezon
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Tropezon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bezana Clean Sheet 68%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana CD Tropezon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs CD Tropezon
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Bezana
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs CD Tropezon
1:3
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Bezana
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Bezana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

CD Tropezon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gago R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madrono J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 41 / 100
CD Tropezon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana CD Tropezon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bezana's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Bezana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: CD Tropezon conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS CD Tropezon
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
26 Apr
Bezana
1 : 2
Selaya
19 Apr
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Bezana
11 Apr
Bezana
2 : 3
Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 6

CD Tropezon

(Away)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
06 Jun
CD Laredo
0 : 1
CD Tropezon
31 May
CD Tropezon
0 : 0
CD Laredo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13CD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)