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Bezana vs UM Escobedo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Morales J.
87' Event
Tresgallo R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Bezana and UM Escobedo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UM Escobedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bezana
20%
Draws
20%
UM Escobedo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UM Escobedo come out ahead of Bezana on wins alone.
  • Bezana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bezana Clean Sheet 68%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana UM Escobedo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Bezana
0:3
Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs UM Escobedo
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Bezana
3:2
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Bezana
1:2
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs UM Escobedo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

UM Escobedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tresgallo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 95 / 100
UM Escobedo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana UM Escobedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Bezana has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Bezana scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

UM Escobedo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS UM Escobedo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
03 Oct
Bezana
1 : 0
Vimenor
27 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 2
Bezana
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 6

UM Escobedo

(Away)
03 Oct
Solares
0 : 0
UM Escobedo
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1
Selaya
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)