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Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Paulikas I.
42' Event
Jurevicius Z.
55' Event
Misiunas D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between BFA Vilnius and Ekranas finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
BFA Vilnius
20%
Draws
22%
Ekranas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on BFA Vilnius taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BFA Vilnius have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 20%
Ekranas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius Ekranas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.45 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
1:4
Jul 2, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas
3:0
Jul 23, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
0:2
Aug 4, 2024 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulikas I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jurevicius Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Ekranas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 85 / 100
Ekranas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius Ekranas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekranas has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

BFA Vilnius found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

BFA Vilnius has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS Ekranas
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

Ekranas

(Away)
19 Sept
Ekranas
2 : 6
Siauliai 2
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)