Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Paulikas I.
42' Event
Jurevicius Z.
55' Event
Misiunas D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between BFA Vilnius and Ekranas finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
BFA Vilnius
33%
Draws
27%
Ekranas
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on BFA Vilnius taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BFA Vilnius have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 12%
Ekranas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius Ekranas
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
1:4
Jul 2, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas
3:0
Jul 23, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
0:2
Aug 4, 2024 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulikas I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jurevicius Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ekranas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 38 / 100
Ekranas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius Ekranas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekranas has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Ekranas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

BFA Vilnius scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS Ekranas
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
19 Jul
Ekranas
1 : 4
BFA Vilnius
02 Jul
BFA Vilnius
3 : 0
Ekranas
28 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
BFA Vilnius
23 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
20 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
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Ekranas

(Away)
19 Jul
Ekranas
1 : 4
BFA Vilnius
02 Jul
BFA Vilnius
3 : 0
Ekranas
27 Jun
Ekranas
1 : 2
FK Atmosfera
20 Jun
Tauras Taurage
2 : 1
Ekranas
05 Jun
Ekranas
1 : 2
Neptunas
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija16141141:1043
2FK Babrungas16133028:442
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Tauras Taurage16101530:1731
5Neptunas1591520:1728
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7BFA Vilnius1681722:2525
8Garliava1564522:1422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1645719:2217
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas16211316:337
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21621137:267
16Siauliai 216141114:387
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)