Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup FK TransINVEST stadium, Galine
BFA Vilnius Logo

BFA Vilnius

0 - 3
FT
FK Kauno Zalgiris Logo

FK Kauno Zalgiris

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Burdzilauskas T. In: Iyobosa Edokpolor N.
Out: Burdzilauskas T.
31' Event
Leo Ribeiro
46'
Sub
Leonenko G. In: Pikelis R.
Out: Leonenko G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
BFA Vilnius
20%
Draws
42%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris haven't matched BFA Vilnius's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FK Kauno Zalgiris's way, sitting at 50%.
  • BFA Vilnius have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Kauno Zalgiris, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 25%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.62 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
BFA Vilnius vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:3
Aug 16, 2023 Lithuanian Cup
BFA Vilnius vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Ribeiro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iyobosa Edokpolor N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 25 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: BFA Vilnius stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

BFA Vilnius's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
1.86 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Neptunas
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai 2
Sirijus 1
FK Minija 3
Suduva 2
FK Atmosfera 2
Zalgiris 1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 0
FK Panevezys 2
Klaipedos FM 1
BE1 NFA 0
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dainava Alytus 7
Kursenai 1
Transinvest 10
Tauras Taurage 1
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 4
FK Sirvena Birzai 0
Jonava 0
FA Siauliai 4
Neptunas 0
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Vilniaus Vytis 0
Banga 4
BFA Vilnius 1
FK Babrungas 0
AFK Vilnius 0
Garliava 3
Vilnius FA 0
Riteriai 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai 1
FK Minija 4
FK Atmosfera 0
FK Panevezys 3
Klaipedos FM 0
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Ataka Vilnius 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Banga 0
BFA Vilnius 2
Garliava 1
Riteriai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija 2
FK Panevezys 1
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Semi-finals
FK Minija 3
Dainava Alytus 2
FA Siauliai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Final
FK Minija -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -