Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs Garliava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Osipovic A.
57' Event
Rakasius T.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Del Campo M.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between BFA Vilnius and Garliava finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Garliava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
BFA Vilnius
44%
Draws
20%
Garliava
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Garliava.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in I Lyga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
Garliava Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius Garliava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
2:1
May 9, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
1:2
Aug 9, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs BFA Vilnius
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
1:0
Nov 8, 2023 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Osipovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Garliava Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Campo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 34 / 100
Garliava 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius Garliava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFA Vilnius scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Garliava let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

BFA Vilnius went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Garliava lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS Garliava
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357