Sport Picks
BFA Vilnius vs Nevezis Kedainiai
Lithuania
I Lyga 2025 FK TransINVEST stadium, Galine 
Match Events
15'
15'
Sub
Vilkuotis R. In: Misiunas D.
Out: Vilkuotis R.
49'
49'
Misiunas D.
52'
52'
Monkelis M.
AI Match Summary
BFA Vilnius in this I Lyga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFA Vilnius.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BFA Vilnius
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to BFA Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than Nevezis Kedainiai.
- BFA Vilnius are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular I Lyga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 16%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFA Vilnius | Nevezis Kedainiai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Nevezis Kedainiai
2:0
Jun 21, 2025 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs BFA Vilnius
1:0
Jul 26, 2024 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs BFA Vilnius
2:2
Apr 13, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Nevezis Kedainiai
2:1
Sep 22, 2023 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs BFA Vilnius
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BFA Vilnius Compare
Top Goalscorer Jurevicius Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Osipovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Nevezis Kedainiai Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BFA Vilnius 84 / 100
Nevezis Kedainiai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BFA Vilnius Nevezis Kedainiai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nevezis Kedainiai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: BFA Vilnius scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
BFA Vilnius went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
BFA Vilnius VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
BFA Vilnius
(Home) 26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0 BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1 BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 7
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Neptunas
08 Aug
BFA Vilnius
4 : 2 Transinvest 2
26 Jul
BFA Vilnius
3 : 1 BE1 NFA
02 Jul
BFA Vilnius
3 : 0 Ekranas
Page 1 of 4
Nevezis Kedainiai
(Away) 09 Nov
Nevezis Kedainiai
4 : 3 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
31 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Nevezis Kedainiai
24 Oct
Nevezis Kedainiai
0 : 2 Ekranas
18 Oct
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1 Nevezis Kedainiai
04 Oct
Jonava
2 : 2 Nevezis Kedainiai
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Nevezis Kedainiai
18 Oct
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1 Nevezis Kedainiai
04 Oct
Jonava
2 : 2 Nevezis Kedainiai
19 Sept
Neptunas
1 : 0 Nevezis Kedainiai
16 Aug
Zalgiris 2
1 : 2 Nevezis Kedainiai
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Transinvest | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 87:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Neptunas | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 68:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Tauras Taurage | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 56:22 | 62 |
| 4 | FK Babrungas | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 64:43 | 58 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 47:36 | 55 |
| 6 | FK Atmosfera | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:34 | 48 |
| 7 | Zalgiris 2 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 50:48 | 42 |
| 8 | Jonava | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 26:25 | 42 |
| 9 | FK Minija | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 27:46 | 36 |
| 10 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35:51 | 31 |
| 11 | BE1 NFA | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 35:51 | 30 |
| 12 | Ekranas | 30 | 9 | 2 | 19 | 37:58 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 43:57 | 27 |
| 14 | Siauliai 2 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 41:71 | 26 |
| 15 | Nevezis Kedainiai | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Panevezys 2 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 30:81 | 21 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2025 (Relegation)
