Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs Siauliai 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Kudzin R.

AI Match Summary

BFA Vilnius in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
BFA Vilnius
6%
Draws
4%
Siauliai 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BFA Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than Siauliai 2.
  • Model gives BFA Vilnius a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BFA Vilnius have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 17%
Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius Siauliai 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Siauliai 2
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Siauliai 2
5:1
Apr 27, 2025 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs BFA Vilnius
0:4
Nov 3, 2024 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:3
Jun 16, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Siauliai 2
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Kudzin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Siauliai 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 84 / 100
Siauliai 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius Siauliai 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siauliai 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Siauliai 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

BFA Vilnius's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS Siauliai 2
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
19 Jul
Ekranas
1 : 4
BFA Vilnius
02 Jul
BFA Vilnius
3 : 0
Ekranas
28 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
BFA Vilnius
23 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
20 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
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Siauliai 2

(Away)
19 Jul
Tauras Taurage
3 : 1
Siauliai 2
01 Jul
Siauliai 2
1 : 3
Tauras Taurage
27 Jun
Siauliai 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Jun
Dainava Alytus
5 : 0
Siauliai 2
14 Jun
Siauliai 2
1 : 2
Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija16141141:1043
2FK Babrungas16133028:442
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Tauras Taurage16101530:1731
5Neptunas1591520:1728
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7BFA Vilnius1681722:2525
8Garliava1564522:1422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1645719:2217
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas16211316:337
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21621137:267
16Siauliai 216141114:387
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)