Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFC Daugavpils U19 vs Sassuolo U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Avdejevs D. In: Vinokurovs A.
Out: Avdejevs D.
35' Event
Frangella C.
Assist: Knezovic B.
40' Event
Benvenuti G.
Assist: Knezovic B.

AI Match Summary

Sassuolo U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
BFC Daugavpils U19
20%
Draws
57%
Sassuolo U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sassuolo U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sassuolo U19 have won more games recently than BFC Daugavpils U19.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sassuolo U19 taking it.
  • Sassuolo U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sassuolo U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
BFC Daugavpils U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Sassuolo U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Daugavpils U19 Sassuolo U19
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 1 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 0.5 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Sassuolo U19 vs BFC Daugavpils U19
4:0
Oct 23, 2024 UEFA Youth League
BFC Daugavpils U19 vs Sassuolo U19
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFC Daugavpils U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sassuolo U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Frangella C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils U19 10 / 100
Sassuolo U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Daugavpils U19 Sassuolo U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassuolo U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Sassuolo U19 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: BFC Daugavpils U19 scored in 33% of their last 6 outings.

Recent resilience: BFC Daugavpils U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BFC Daugavpils U19 VS Sassuolo U19
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils U19

(Home)
06 Nov
Sassuolo U19
4 : 0
BFC Daugavpils U19
23 Oct
BFC Daugavpils U19
0 : 5
Sassuolo U19
02 Oct
Cliftonville U19
2 : 2
BFC Daugavpils U19
18 Sept
BFC Daugavpils U19
1 : 0
Cliftonville U19
20 Oct
FC Minsk U19
2 : 0
BFC Daugavpils U19
Page 1 of 2

Sassuolo U19

(Away)
11 Dec
Sassuolo U19
1 : 1
Betis U19
27 Nov
Betis U19
3 : 1
Sassuolo U19
06 Nov
Sassuolo U19
4 : 0
BFC Daugavpils U19
23 Oct
BFC Daugavpils U19
0 : 5
Sassuolo U19
20 Aug
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Fiorentina U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dynamo Kyiv U19 -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps U19 0
Maribor U19 8
Bylis U19 2
2 Korriku U19 4
UC Dublin U19 5
Stjarnan U19 3
Stromsgodset U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar U19 -
Zalgiris U19 7
TNS U19 2
TBD -
Manchester United U19 -
Aberdeen U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Akademia U19 -
Genk U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
CSKA Sofia U19 -
Auxerre U19 -
TBD -
Honka U19 3
Valletta U19 4
IFK Goteborg U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Hoffenheim U19 -
Legia U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos U19 -
HB Torshavn U19 1
Progres Niedercorn U19 5
TBD -
Midtjylland U19 -
Betis U19 -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty U19 6
Academia Rebeja U19 2
BFC Daugavpils U19 3
Cliftonville U19 2
TBD -
Sassuolo U19 -
F. Constanta U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
IMT Novi Beograd U19 -
Lok. Zagreb U19 -
TBD -
Din. Minsk U19 6
Pyunik Yerevan U19 3
Trencin U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Brno U19 -
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U19 11
FC Santa Coloma U19 0
Basel U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sabah Baku U19 -
Braga U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Rapid Vienna U19 -
Maccabi Petah Tikva U19 -
TBD -
Brera Strumica U19 2
FK Sarajevo U19 4
Trabzonspor U19 -
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 4
Buducnost U19 6
Semi-finals
Dynamo Kyiv U19 4
Maribor U19 2
2 Korriku U19 5
UC Dublin U19 2
Stromsgodset U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 8
Zalgiris U19 2
Manchester United U19 11
Aberdeen U19 1
Puskas Akademia U19 8
Genk U19 6
CSKA Sofia U19 2
Auxerre U19 7
Valletta U19 0
IFK Goteborg U19 1
Hoffenheim U19 7
Legia U19 6
Pafos U19 0
Progres Niedercorn U19 0
Midtjylland U19 9
Betis U19 11
Kairat Almaty U19 1
BFC Daugavpils U19 0
Sassuolo U19 9
F. Constanta U19 2
IMT Novi Beograd U19 1
Lok. Zagreb U19 2
Din. Minsk U19 1
Trencin U19 6
Brno U19 3
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 7
Tallinna Kalev U19 1
Basel U19 8
Sabah Baku U19 1
Braga U19 2
Rapid Vienna U19 3
Maccabi Petah Tikva U19 0
FK Sarajevo U19 6
Trabzonspor U19 8
Buducnost U19 3
Final
Dynamo Kyiv U19 9
2 Korriku U19 1
AZ Alkmaar U19 2
Manchester United U19 1
Puskas Akademia U19 3
Genk U19 2
Auxerre U19 1
Hoffenheim U19 3
Legia U19 0
Midtjylland U19 9
Betis U19 4
Sassuolo U19 2
F. Constanta U19 1
Lok. Zagreb U19 6
Trencin U19 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 5
Basel U19 1
Rapid Vienna U19 5
FK Sarajevo U19 3
Trabzonspor U19 8