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BFC Daugavpils vs Lerona Rita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2013/2014
BFC Daugavpils Logo

BFC Daugavpils

5 - 3
FT
Lerona Rita Logo

Lerona Rita

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kravcenko O.
37' Event
Halimons J.
44' Event
Rascevskis R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BFC Daugavpils in this Latvian Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 5-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
BFC Daugavpils
25%
Draws
35%
Lerona Rita
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: BFC Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lerona Rita haven't matched BFC Daugavpils's recent run of results.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • BFC Daugavpils have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor BFC Daugavpils, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 20%
Lerona Rita Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Daugavpils Lerona Rita
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 11 1
Draws 9 0
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 1.4 4.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2013 Latvian Cup
BFC Daugavpils vs Lerona Rita
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFC Daugavpils Compare

Top Goalscorer Halimons J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rascevskis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lerona Rita Compare

Top Goalscorer Scanicins I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kravcenko O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 32 / 100
Lerona Rita 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Daugavpils Lerona Rita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lerona Rita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lerona Rita has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

BFC Daugavpils's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

BFC Daugavpils went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BFC Daugavpils VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

Lerona Rita

(Away)
07 Jul
BFC Daugavpils
5 : 3
Lerona Rita
22 Jun
FK Carnikava
3 : 6
Lerona Rita

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Rinuzi -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
Riga United 0
FK Olaine 4
Dinamo Riga 2
Kuldigas NSS 0
TBD -
Gulbene -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Marienburg 1
FK Dobele 3
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Smiltene 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 3
Lerona Rita 6
Grobina 2
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Ilukste -
Alberts JDFS 2
Plavinas 1
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe -
Upesciems 2
Kalupe 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Rinuzi 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Valmiera 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Olaine 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Gulbene 4
FC Jurmala 1
Rezekne 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Tukums 2000 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
FK Dobele 0
Preilu BJSS 2
FK Liepaja 11
Skonto 8
FK Alberts 1
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
BFC Daugavpils 5
Lerona Rita 3
Grobina 0
FK Daugava Riga 8
Ventspils 6
Saldus 0
DSVK Traktors 0
FK Ilukste 8
Alberts JDFS 3
Vilki/Marupe 0
Upesciems 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
1/8-finals
Jelgava 3
Valmiera 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Gulbene 3
FC Jurmala 5
Tukums 2000 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FK Liepaja 4
Skonto 5
RFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Ventspils 3
FK Ilukste 0
Alberts JDFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 2
Gulbene 0
FC Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 2
Skonto 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
Semi-finals
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 0
Skonto 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Final
Jelgava 1
Skonto 0