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BFC Daugavpils vs SFK United

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1. Liga 2013
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AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2013 game between BFC Daugavpils and SFK United finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFC Daugavpils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
BFC Daugavpils
20%
Draws
0%
SFK United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFC Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BFC Daugavpils come out ahead of SFK United on wins alone.
  • Model gives BFC Daugavpils a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 20%
SFK United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Daugavpils SFK United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2013 1. Liga
BFC Daugavpils vs SFK United
8:0
May 26, 2013 1. Liga
SFK United vs BFC Daugavpils
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 36 / 100
SFK United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Daugavpils SFK United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: SFK United registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

SFK United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

BFC Daugavpils VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
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SFK United

(Away)
08 Nov
SFK United
1 : 2
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
Jekabpils SC
1 : 0
SFK United
25 Oct
SFK United
1 : 2
Preilu BJSS
18 Oct
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS
3 : 2
SFK United
11 Oct
SFK United
0 : 5
Tukums 2000
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BFC Daugavpils 30 25 4 1 104:16 79
2 Gulbene 30 21 4 5 87:31 67
3 Valmiera 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
4 Ventspils 2 30 18 3 9 68:27 57
5 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 30 16 4 10 60:39 52
6 Skonto 2 30 12 8 10 50:47 44
7 RFS 30 12 7 11 49:44 43
8 Rezekne 30 13 4 13 55:54 43
9 FK Metta 2 30 11 8 11 42:42 41
10 FK 1625 Liepaja 30 11 8 11 51:46 41
11 Tukums 2000 30 12 2 16 63:80 38
12 Jekabpils SC 30 10 2 18 42:81 32
13 FK Auda Riga 30 8 4 18 45:54 28
14 SFK United 30 8 2 20 43:86 26
15 FK Jurmala VV 2 30 8 0 22 33:109 24
16 Jelgava 2 30 3 3 24 35:103 12
Promotion - Virslīga 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2013 (Relegation)