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BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Pistol J.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Alberico D.
53' Event
Reincke W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between BFC Dynamo and Chemnitzer finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
BFC Dynamo
39%
Draws
31%
Chemnitzer
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chemnitzer come out ahead of BFC Dynamo on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
BFC Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Dynamo Chemnitzer
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer
2:2
Nov 28, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs BFC Dynamo
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs BFC Dynamo
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFC Dynamo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberico D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Dynamo 29 / 100
Chemnitzer 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Dynamo Chemnitzer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DYN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BFC Dynamo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Chemnitzer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: BFC Dynamo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BFC Dynamo VS Chemnitzer
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Dynamo

(Home)
17 Jul
BFC Dynamo
2 : 0
Berliner AK 07
11 Jul
Hertha Zehlendorf
0 : 5
BFC Dynamo
08 Jul
Stendal
0 : 1
BFC Dynamo
03 Jul
BFC Dynamo
1 : 1
Phonix Lubeck
27 Jun
BFC Dynamo
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

Chemnitzer

(Away)
18 Jul
Chemnitzer
1 : 4
Furth II
15 Jul
Chemnitzer
3 : 0
Unterhaching
11 Jul
Chemnitzer
4 : 0
1. FC Schweinfurt
09 Jul
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Union Berlin
16 May
BFC Dynamo
2 : 2
Chemnitzer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)