Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFK Simm Bau vs Gorazde

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 Grabovac Stadium, Maglaj
Wed, May 21, 2025
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BFK Simm Bau host Gorazde in the Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. BFK Simm Bau have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Gorazde's 1.29 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, BFK Simm Bau have won 1 to Gorazde's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on May 21, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Gorazde. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
BFK Simm Bau
25%
Draws
35%
Gorazde
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: BFK Simm Bau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gorazde come out ahead of BFK Simm Bau on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on BFK Simm Bau taking it.
  • Regular Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
BFK Simm Bau Clean Sheet 20%
Gorazde Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFK Simm Bau Gorazde
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 11
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
BFK Simm Bau vs Gorazde
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gorazde vs BFK Simm Bau
0:0
Apr 27, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gorazde vs BFK Simm Bau
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
BFK Simm Bau vs Gorazde
2:1
Apr 23, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
BFK Simm Bau vs Gorazde
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFK Simm Bau 36 / 100
Gorazde 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFK Simm Bau Gorazde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gorazde conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Gorazde's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

BFK Simm Bau VS Gorazde
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BFK Simm Bau

(Home)

Gorazde

(Away)
08 Jun
Gorazde
1 : 2
Tomislav
31 May
Gradina Srebrenik
2 : 1
Gorazde
25 May
Gorazde
4 : 1
Gornji Rahic
17 May
Gorazde
3 : 0
Radnicki Lukavac
10 May
Banovici
4 : 1
Gorazde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stupcanica 28 16 6 6 50:29 54
2 Bratstvo Gracanica 28 15 1 12 38:38 46
3 Celik Zenica 28 13 6 9 40:29 45
4 Hadzici 28 12 9 7 41:31 45
5 Banovici 28 12 7 9 42:33 43
6 Travnik 28 11 9 8 37:30 42
7 Tuzla City 28 12 6 10 33:33 42
8 Tomislav 28 11 8 9 38:28 41
9 TOSK Tesanj 28 11 7 10 41:38 40
10 Jedinstvo Bihac 28 10 9 9 32:32 39
11 Gradina Srebrenik 28 10 7 11 35:36 37
12 Gorazde 28 8 11 9 32:35 35
13 Gradacac 28 10 3 15 43:40 33
14 Gornji Rahic 28 8 7 13 43:56 31
15 Radnicki Lukavac 28 1 4 23 23:80 7
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