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Bhutan U20 vs Nepal U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Chozang S. J.
47' Event
Jamtsho K. T.
90'
Waiba A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Bhutan U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bhutan U20
15%
Draws
46%
Nepal U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bhutan U20 haven't matched Nepal U20's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bhutan U20 taking it.
  • Nepal U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nepal U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Nepal U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bhutan U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Nepal U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bhutan U20 Nepal U20
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 4 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 SAFF Championship U20
Bhutan U20 vs Nepal U20
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Bhutan U20
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U20
Bhutan U20 vs Nepal U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bhutan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chozang S. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jamtsho K. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nepal U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bhutan U20 41 / 100
Nepal U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bhutan U20 Nepal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Bhutan U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bhutan U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bhutan U20 VS Nepal U20
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bhutan U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Bhutan U20
7 : 0
Macau U20
03 Sept
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Chinese Taipei U20
31 Aug
Singapore U20
3 : 1
Bhutan U20
01 Apr
India U20
5 : 0
Bhutan U20
27 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
Page 1 of 4

Nepal U20

(Away)
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Nepal U20
27 Sept
Bahrain U20
4 : 0
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 China U20 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Myanmar U20 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U20 4 4 0 0 14:1 12
2 Bahrain U20 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
3 Bangladesh U20 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Bhutan U20 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U20 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 4 4 0 0 22:0 12
2 Yemen U20 4 2 1 1 14:5 7
3 Palestine U20 4 2 1 1 8:10 7
4 Laos U20 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
5 Guam U20 4 0 0 4 1:27 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U20 4 3 1 0 21:2 10
2 Syria U20 4 3 0 1 16:3 9
3 Chinese Taipei U20 4 2 1 1 10:1 7
4 Turkmenistan U20 4 1 0 3 9:8 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U20 4 0 0 4 0:42 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 3 3 0 0 19:2 9
2 Mongolia U20 3 1 1 1 7:8 4
3 Malaysia U20 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
4 Sri Lanka U20 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
2 Vietnam U20 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Timor-Leste U20 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Hong Kong U20 3 0 0 3 3:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U20 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Philippines U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Afghanistan U20 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U20 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Iraq U20 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 India U20 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Kuwait U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U20 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Lebanon U20 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Singapore U20 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Cambodia U20 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams