Sport Picks
Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
24'
24'
Stanislawski S.
50'
50'
Dmitruk K.
51'
51'
Jagiello M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Star Starachowice
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Star Starachowice haven't matched Biala Podlaska's recent run of results.
- Star Starachowice are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 20%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Biala Podlaska | Star Starachowice |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice
2:2
May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Biala Podlaska
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Biala Podlaska
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Biala Podlaska Compare
Top Goalscorer Dmitruk K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maluga D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Star Starachowice Compare
Top Goalscorer Stanislawski S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jagiello M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Biala Podlaska 28 / 100
Star Starachowice 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Biala Podlaska Star Starachowice
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Star Starachowice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Biala Podlaska scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Star Starachowice conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Biala Podlaska remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Biala Podlaska VS Star Starachowice
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Biala Podlaska
(Home) 01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
28 Aug
Biala Podlaska
0 : 0 Kolbuszowa Dolna
19 Aug
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
07 Aug
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Hetman Zamosc
Page 1 of 3
Star Starachowice
(Away) 01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
15 Aug
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 26 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Wislanie Skawina | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 27:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 14 | Busko-Zdroj | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
