Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Biancavilla vs Castrovillari

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Gastaldo A.
26' Event
Tripicchio A.
43' Event
Rodi V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 game between Biancavilla and Castrovillari finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castrovillari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Biancavilla
15%
Draws
85%
Castrovillari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castrovillari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Castrovillari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Castrovillari are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Biancavilla Clean Sheet 20%
Castrovillari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biancavilla Castrovillari
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 2 3
Draws 4 12
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.57 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Biancavilla vs Castrovillari
0:3
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Biancavilla
0:1
Apr 14, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Biancavilla vs Castrovillari
1:0
Dec 23, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Biancavilla
1:0
Apr 5, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Biancavilla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biancavilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Castrovillari Compare

Top Goalscorer Gastaldo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tripicchio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biancavilla 16 / 100
Castrovillari 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biancavilla Castrovillari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castrovillari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castrovillari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Castrovillari has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Biancavilla found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castrovillari
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Biancavilla

(Home)
22 May
Biancavilla
0 : 3
Castrovillari
08 May
Biancavilla
1 : 4
ASD Giarre
04 May
Santa Maria Cilento
3 : 0
Biancavilla
27 Apr
Biancavilla
0 : 3
Sancataldese
24 Apr
Biancavilla
1 : 2
Troina
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Castrovillari

(Away)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1
Castrovillari
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1
Portici 1906
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1
Castrovillari
07 Apr
Castrovillari
2 : 1
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)