Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Biashara Mara United vs Kinondoni MC

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kabeja G.
Assist: Opare C.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 game between Biashara Mara United and Kinondoni MC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Biashara Mara United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Biashara Mara United
15%
Draws
0%
Kinondoni MC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biashara Mara United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Biashara Mara United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Biashara Mara United a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 68%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biashara Mara United Kinondoni MC
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 4
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 0.8 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Kinondoni MC
1:0
Feb 5, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Biashara Mara United
1:1
Apr 20, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Biashara Mara United
1:1
Nov 3, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Kinondoni MC
1:1
Jun 24, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Kinondoni MC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biashara Mara United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabeja G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Kinondoni MC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biashara Mara United 95 / 100
Kinondoni MC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biashara Mara United Kinondoni MC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biashara Mara United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kinondoni MC let in goals in 85% of their last 39 matches.

Difficult form: Kinondoni MC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Biashara Mara United scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kinondoni MC
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Biashara Mara United

(Home)
16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0
Biashara Mara United
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0
TRA United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1
Biashara Mara United
Page 1 of 6

Kinondoni MC

(Away)
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3
Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3
Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 22 8 0 49:8 74
2 Simba 30 17 10 3 41:14 61
3 Azam 30 14 7 9 41:28 49
4 Geita Gold 30 12 10 8 32:26 46
5 Namungo 30 10 11 9 42:34 41
6 Kagera Sugar 30 9 12 9 20:25 39
7 Coastal Union 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
8 Polisi Tanzania 30 8 13 9 21:23 37
9 Mbeya City 30 8 13 9 25:29 37
10 Kinondoni MC 30 8 11 11 34:35 35
11 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 8 13 25:37 35
12 Ruvu Shooting 30 8 10 12 28:39 34
13 Mtibwa Sugar 30 7 10 13 25:34 31
14 Tanzania Prisons 30 7 8 15 21:34 29
15 Biashara Mara United 30 5 13 12 23:35 28
16 Mbeya Kwanza 30 5 10 15 22:39 25
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)