Sport Picks
Biashara Mara United vs Mbeya Kwanza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 
Match Events
17'
17'
Mafie D.
72'
72'
AI Match Summary
Biashara Mara United in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Biashara Mara United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biashara Mara United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Biashara Mara United have won more games recently than Mbeya Kwanza.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Biashara Mara United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Biashara Mara United here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 68%
Mbeya Kwanza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Biashara Mara United | Mbeya Kwanza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 26, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Biashara Mara United
0:2
May 19, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mbeya Kwanza
2:0
Apr 6, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mbeya Kwanza
1:0
Oct 29, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Biashara Mara United
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Biashara Mara United Compare
Top Goalscorer Mafie D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Mbeya Kwanza Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Biashara Mara United 95 / 100
Mbeya Kwanza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Biashara Mara United Mbeya Kwanza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Biashara Mara United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mbeya Kwanza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Away concern: Mbeya Kwanza has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Biashara Mara United's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Scoring Trends
Biashara Mara United VS Mbeya Kwanza
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Biashara Mara United
(Home) 16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0 TRA United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2 Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1 Biashara Mara United
Page 1 of 6
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0 TRA United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
25 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
23 May
Biashara Mara United
1 : 1 Young Africans
17 May
Biashara Mara United
1 : 2 Namungo
Page 1 of 3
Mbeya Kwanza
(Away) 05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1 Mbeya Kwanza
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4 Polisi Tanzania
13 Mar
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2 Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1 Mbeya Kwanza
13 Mar
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
22 Jun
Kinondoni MC
4 : 1 Mbeya Kwanza
15 Jun
Azam
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 49:8 | 74 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 41:14 | 61 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 41:28 | 49 |
| 4 | Geita Gold | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 32:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Namungo | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 42:34 | 41 |
| 6 | Kagera Sugar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 20:25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 22:31 | 38 |
| 8 | Polisi Tanzania | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 21:23 | 37 |
| 9 | Mbeya City | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 10 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34:35 | 35 |
| 11 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 25:37 | 35 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 28:39 | 34 |
| 13 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 31 |
| 14 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21:34 | 29 |
| 15 | Biashara Mara United | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 23:35 | 28 |
| 16 | Mbeya Kwanza | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 22:39 | 25 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
