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Biashara Mara United vs Namungo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kichuya S.
Assist: Lusajo R.
67' Event
Kichuya S.
Assist: Manyama E.
85' Event
Awio A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 game between Biashara Mara United and Namungo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Namungo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Biashara Mara United
15%
Draws
21%
Namungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biashara Mara United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Biashara Mara United have managed 0.8 goals a game lately — Namungo are scoring more at 0.84.
  • Biashara Mara United are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 68%
Namungo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biashara Mara United Namungo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.8 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Namungo
1:2
Dec 30, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Biashara Mara United
1:1
Jun 15, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Namungo
1:1
Dec 9, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Biashara Mara United
0:0
Mar 10, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Biashara Mara United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biashara Mara United Compare

Top Goalscorer Awio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kichuya S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biashara Mara United 68 / 100
Namungo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biashara Mara United Namungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biashara Mara United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biashara Mara United's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Namungo has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Biashara Mara United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Namungo
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Biashara Mara United

(Home)
16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0
Biashara Mara United
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0
TRA United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1
Biashara Mara United
Page 1 of 6

Namungo

(Away)
08 Oct
Namungo
1 : 0
TRA United
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 22 8 0 49:8 74
2 Simba 30 17 10 3 41:14 61
3 Azam 30 14 7 9 41:28 49
4 Geita Gold 30 12 10 8 32:26 46
5 Namungo 30 10 11 9 42:34 41
6 Kagera Sugar 30 9 12 9 20:25 39
7 Coastal Union 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
8 Polisi Tanzania 30 8 13 9 21:23 37
9 Mbeya City 30 8 13 9 25:29 37
10 Kinondoni MC 30 8 11 11 34:35 35
11 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 8 13 25:37 35
12 Ruvu Shooting 30 8 10 12 28:39 34
13 Mtibwa Sugar 30 7 10 13 25:34 31
14 Tanzania Prisons 30 7 8 15 21:34 29
15 Biashara Mara United 30 5 13 12 23:35 28
16 Mbeya Kwanza 30 5 10 15 22:39 25
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)