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Bidezarra vs Lagunak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
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Match Events

70' Event
Ibarrola Sarasate R.
90' Event
Zubiria U.
90' Event
Salinas J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Bidezarra and Lagunak finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bidezarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Bidezarra
35%
Draws
47%
Lagunak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagunak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bidezarra come out ahead of Lagunak on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lagunak a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 26%
Lagunak Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bidezarra Lagunak
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Lagunak
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Bidezarra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bidezarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibarrola Sarasate R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zubiria U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Lagunak Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bidezarra 21 / 100
Lagunak 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bidezarra Lagunak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagunak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lagunak conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Bidezarra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bidezarra scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Bidezarra VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bidezarra

(Home)
03 Oct
Bidezarra
1 : 1
CD Beti Onak
26 Sept
Txantrea
2 : 2
Bidezarra
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Beti Kozkor
Page 1 of 6

Lagunak

(Away)
11 May
Lagunak
2 : 0
Huarte
04 May
Subiza
3 : 1
Lagunak
01 May
Lagunak
1 : 0
Oberena
27 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 1
Lagunak
21 Apr
Lagunak
0 : 0
Burlades
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)