Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bidezarra vs Lerines

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Zubiria U.
81' Event
Romera J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bidezarra
35%
Draws
35%
Lerines
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bidezarra have won more games recently than Lerines.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 26%
Lerines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bidezarra Lerines
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.92 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Lerines
1:1
Nov 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lerines vs Bidezarra
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bidezarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Zubiria U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Lerines Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bidezarra 38 / 100
Lerines 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bidezarra Lerines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lerines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lerines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bidezarra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Bidezarra's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bidezarra VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bidezarra

(Home)
26 Sept
Txantrea
2 : 2
Bidezarra
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Beti Kozkor
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
Page 1 of 8

Lerines

(Away)
11 May
Lerines
1 : 1
CD Beti Onak
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Lerines
2 : 2
Ezcabarte
27 Apr
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Lerines
20 Apr
Lerines
4 : 4
Pena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)