Sport Picks
Match Events
62'
62'
Aliu I.
81'
81'
Baturina R.
82'
82'
Chihadeh S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-4. The second leg ended 3-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Aarau haven't matched Biel's recent run of results.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Biel taking it.
- Biel have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aarau, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Biel Clean Sheet 11%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Biel | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Swiss Cup
Biel vs Aarau
3:4
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Biel vs Aarau
3:5
Apr 17, 2016 Challenge League
Biel vs Aarau
0:0
Feb 6, 2016 Challenge League
Aarau vs Biel
0:0
Nov 1, 2015 Challenge League
Biel vs Aarau
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Biel Compare
Top Goalscorer Maltet L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pululu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Aarau Compare
Top Goalscorer Aliu I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baturina R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Biel 83 / 100
Aarau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Biel Aarau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Biel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Biel scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Aarau has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Biel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Biel VS Aarau
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Biel
(Home) 03 Oct
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 2 Biel
26 Sept
Biel
2 : 0 Bavois
19 Sept
Breitenrain
0 : 4 Biel
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1 Biel
06 Sept
Biel
2 : 4 Young Boys II
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Biel
2 : 0 Bavois
06 Sept
Biel
2 : 4 Young Boys II
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2 Lugano II
16 Aug
Biel
3 : 4 Aarau
09 Aug
Biel
4 : 2 Young Fellows Juventus
Page 1 of 4
Aarau
(Away) 02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2 Young Boys
24 Sept
Grasshoppers
4 : 1 Aarau
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1 Aarau
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2 Kriens
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2 Rapperswil-Jona
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Grasshoppers
4 : 1 Aarau
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1 Aarau
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2 Aarau
23 Aug
Yverdon
2 : 1 Aarau
16 Aug
Biel
3 : 4 Aarau
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
1/16-finals
Langenthal -
Xamax -
Bulle -
Wil -
Koniz -
Bruhl SG -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Etoile-Carouge -
Old Boys -
Yverdon -
Stade Nyonnais -
Basel -
Rotkreuz -
Servette -
Schaffhausen -
Thun -
Aarau -
Zurich -
Rapperswil-Jona -
St. Gallen -
Winterthur -
Luzern -
FC Winkeln SG -
Lausanne -
Grenchen -
Grasshoppers -
Pully -
Lugano -
Taverne -
Young Boys -
Cham -
Sion -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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