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Biggleswade Town vs Arlesey

England England

Southern Premier League 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
66' Event

AI Match Summary

Arlesey in this Southern Premier League 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arlesey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Biggleswade Town
15%
Draws
0%
Arlesey
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biggleswade Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Biggleswade Town at 1 per game, Arlesey at 0.87.
  • Model gives Biggleswade Town a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Biggleswade Town Clean Sheet 17%
Arlesey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biggleswade Town Arlesey
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2015 Southern Premier League
Biggleswade Town vs Arlesey
0:1
Jan 1, 2015 Southern Premier League
Arlesey vs Biggleswade Town
2:1
Sep 13, 2014 FA Cup
Biggleswade Town vs Arlesey
2:1
Dec 3, 2013 Southern Premier League
Biggleswade Town vs Arlesey
2:1
Oct 1, 2013 Southern Premier League
Arlesey vs Biggleswade Town
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biggleswade Town 84 / 100
Arlesey 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biggleswade Town Arlesey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biggleswade Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arlesey let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Arlesey has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Biggleswade Town scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Biggleswade Town VS Arlesey
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Biggleswade Town

(Home)
08 Sept
Hitchin
3 : 0
Biggleswade Town
05 Sept
Biggleswade Town
1 : 1
Hitchin
06 Sept
Biggleswade Town
1 : 3
Hitchin
26 Apr
Leiston
2 : 3
Biggleswade Town
21 Apr
Biggleswade Town
0 : 1
Kettering
Page 1 of 7

Arlesey

(Away)
30 Aug
Eynesbury Rovers
3 : 1
Arlesey
15 Jul
Arlesey
0 : 4
Hendon
04 Sept
Arlesey
0 : 5
Bowers & Pitsea
07 Sept
Hadley
3 : 2
Arlesey
28 Oct
Needham Market
3 : 1
Arlesey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corby 44 29 7 8 86:47 94
2 Poole Town 44 28 7 9 84:35 91
3 Truro 44 27 5 12 83:58 86
4 Hungerford 44 22 13 9 64:36 79
5 Neots 44 20 16 8 82:58 76
6 Redditch 44 21 12 11 73:44 75
7 Weymouth 44 22 7 15 71:71 73
8 Cirencester 44 20 12 12 77:54 72
9 Hitchin 44 20 10 14 78:63 70
10 Paulton Rovers 44 18 10 16 65:62 64
11 Chippenham Town 44 16 13 15 54:54 61
12 Chesham 44 16 12 16 79:72 60
13 Cambridge City 44 14 15 15 71:62 57
14 Dunstable Town 44 16 9 19 71:78 57
15 Bideford 44 16 7 21 66:85 55
16 Slough Town 44 13 12 19 66:88 51
17 Dorchester 44 14 8 22 63:74 50
18 Histon 44 13 10 21 53:74 49
19 Biggleswade Town 44 11 12 21 57:75 45
20 Frome Town 44 10 11 23 49:80 41
21 Banbury 44 9 10 25 53:86 37
22 Arlesey 44 10 6 28 43:84 36
23 Burnham FC 44 5 8 31 41:89 20
Promotion - National League South 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)