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Bilje vs Bistrica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Vrdoljak M.
60' Event
Simic D.
62' Event
Vrdoljak M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL game between Bilje and Bistrica finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bistrica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bilje
15%
Draws
42%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bilje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Bistrica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bistrica a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bilje Clean Sheet 11%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bilje Bistrica
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
1:4
Apr 30, 2026 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Bilje
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
0:0
May 3, 2025 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Bilje
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bilje Compare

Top Goalscorer Simic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Vrdoljak M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ikac L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bilje 27 / 100
Bistrica 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bilje Bistrica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bistrica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bistrica conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bistrica registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bilje found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Bilje VS Bistrica
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bilje

(Home)
10 Oct
Beltinci
5 : 1
Bilje
06 Oct
Bilje
2 : 0
Jadran Dekani
27 Sept
Krsko Posavje
3 : 1
Bilje
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
11 Sept
Primorje
2 : 3
Bilje
Page 1 of 6

Bistrica

(Away)
04 Oct
Bistrica
3 : 1
Rudar
26 Sept
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Bistrica
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 10 8 1 1 21:7 25
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 10 5 0 5 19:17 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)