Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bilje vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Dragoner A.

AI Match Summary

Nafta in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bilje
6%
Draws
4%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bilje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nafta have won more games recently than Bilje.
  • Win probability leans Bilje's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nafta here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bilje Clean Sheet 17%
Nafta Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bilje Nafta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 2. SNL
Bilje vs Nafta
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 2. SNL
Nafta vs Bilje
4:1
Apr 20, 2024 2. SNL
Bilje vs Nafta
0:2
Sep 30, 2023 2. SNL
Nafta vs Bilje
3:1
May 20, 2023 2. SNL
Bilje vs Nafta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bilje Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Dragoner A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bilje 84 / 100
Nafta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bilje Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nafta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Nafta registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bilje found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bilje VS Nafta
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bilje

(Home)
22 May
Bilje
0 : 1
Grosuplje
16 May
Beltinci
1 : 3
Bilje
09 May
Ilirija
1 : 0
Bilje
06 May
Bilje
0 : 1
Nafta
30 Apr
Bistrica
3 : 0
Bilje
Page 1 of 6

Nafta

(Away)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
04 Jul
Nafta
0 : 3
Honved
27 Jun
Nafta
0 : 3
Voluntari
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)