Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bilje vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Bilje Logo

Bilje

0 - 1
FT
Nafta Logo

Nafta

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Dragoner A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nafta in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bilje
15%
Draws
42%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bilje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nafta have won more games recently than Bilje.
  • Win probability leans Bilje's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nafta here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bilje Clean Sheet 15%
Nafta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bilje Nafta
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 2. SNL
Bilje vs Nafta
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 2. SNL
Nafta vs Bilje
4:1
Apr 20, 2024 2. SNL
Bilje vs Nafta
0:2
Sep 30, 2023 2. SNL
Nafta vs Bilje
3:1
May 20, 2023 2. SNL
Bilje vs Nafta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bilje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Dragoner A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bilje 41 / 100
Nafta 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bilje Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nafta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Nafta registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bilje found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Bilje VS Nafta
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bilje

(Home)
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
11 Sept
Primorje
2 : 3
Bilje
05 Sept
Bilje
4 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
29 Aug
Rudar
4 : 1
Bilje
22 Aug
Bilje
1 : 4
Bistrica
Page 1 of 6

Nafta

(Away)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)