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Bilje vs NK Krka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bilje host NK Krka in the 2. SNL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bilje have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against NK Krka's 1.19 scored and 1.77 conceded. Head-to-head, Bilje have won 1 to NK Krka's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.56) point toward Bilje. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bilje
15%
Draws
34%
NK Krka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bilje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bilje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Bilje taking it.
  • Regular 2. SNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bilje Clean Sheet 15%
NK Krka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bilje NK Krka
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 2. SNL
Bilje vs NK Krka
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Bilje
0:1
May 23, 2025 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Bilje
2:2
Nov 16, 2024 2. SNL
Bilje vs NK Krka
0:0
May 10, 2024 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Bilje
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bilje 66 / 100
NK Krka 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bilje NK Krka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bilje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Krka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Bilje stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

NK Krka lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bilje scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bilje VS NK Krka
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bilje

(Home)
06 Oct
Bilje
2 : 0
Jadran Dekani
27 Sept
Krsko Posavje
3 : 1
Bilje
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
11 Sept
Primorje
2 : 3
Bilje
05 Sept
Bilje
4 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

NK Krka

(Away)
03 Oct
Tabor Sezana
2 : 1
NK Krka
27 Sept
Beltinci
3 : 0
NK Krka
20 Sept
NK Krka
1 : 2
Jadran Dekani
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 9 5 0 4 19:16 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)