Sport Picks

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Billericay W vs Cheltenham W

England England

Women's National League South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Billericay W play Cheltenham W in the Women's National League South. Cheltenham W are favorites here. Recently, Billericay W averaged 0.55 goals scored and 5.32 conceded. Cheltenham W averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. In past meetings, Billericay W won 1, Cheltenham W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Billericay W and 3.88 for Cheltenham W. This points to a Cheltenham W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Billericay W
15%
Draws
70%
Cheltenham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cheltenham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Billericay W picked up more points recently compared to Cheltenham W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 3.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Billericay W Clean Sheet 10%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Billericay W Cheltenham W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 3
Losses 28 16
Goals Scored 0.55 1.55
Goals Conceded 5.32 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.88 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Women's National League South
Billericay W vs Cheltenham W
0:5
Nov 30, 2025 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Billericay W
3:0
Feb 9, 2025 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Billericay W
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Women's National League South
Billericay W vs Cheltenham W
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Billericay W
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Billericay W 16 / 100
Cheltenham W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Billericay W Cheltenham W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheltenham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Cheltenham W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Billericay W attacking → ← attacking Cheltenham W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Billericay W scored in 26% of their last 31 games.

Cheltenham W let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Billericay W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cheltenham W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 39
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
6.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Watford W22172380:2453
2Plymouth W22164261:1152
3Bournemouth W22144461:2046
4Oxford Utd W22123744:2739
5Lewes W22121946:2737
6Real Bedford W22931042:3430
7Exeter W22931039:3530
8Cheltenham W22731231:4624
9Hashtag W22651134:3823
10AFC Wimbledon W22641230:4822
11Gwalia United W22641228:4622
12Billericay W2200225:1450