Sport Picks
Binacional vs AD Tarma
Peru
Liga 1 2025 Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina, Juliaca 
AI Match Summary
Binacional host AD Tarma in the Liga 1 2025. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. AD Tarma have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while Binacional have conceded 2.29 and scored 0.82. Head-to-head, Binacional have won 1 to AD Tarma's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.19, favoring AD Tarma. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Binacional haven't matched AD Tarma's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans AD Tarma's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Binacional | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Binacional scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
AD Tarma let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Difficult form: AD Tarma registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Binacional
(Home)AD Tarma
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 29:13 | 40 |
| 2 | Cusco | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 29:15 | 36 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 31 |
| 4 | A. Lima | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Los Chankas | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 21:28 | 27 |
| 7 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | 26 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:21 | 25 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | 25 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:12 | 23 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28:28 | 18 |
| 13 | Alianza Huanuco | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23:33 | 17 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | 16 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14:25 | 16 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16:29 | 14 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
