Sport Picks
Binacional vs Alianza Atl.
Peru
Liga 1 2025 Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina, Juliaca 
Match Events
10'
10'
Fernandez S.
14'
14'
Rasmussen M.
38'
38'
Flores F.
Assist: Rodriguez L.
AI Match Summary
Binacional in this Liga 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binacional.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alianza Atl.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Binacional haven't matched Alianza Atl.'s recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Alianza Atl.'s way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Binacional Clean Sheet 10%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Binacional | Alianza Atl. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.54 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 3.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2025 Liga 1
Binacional vs Alianza Atl.
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Binacional
4:1
Sep 19, 2023 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Binacional
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Liga 1
Binacional vs Alianza Atl.
4:2
Sep 5, 2022 Liga 1
Binacional vs Alianza Atl.
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Binacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Rasmussen M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Flores F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Alianza Atl. Compare
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Binacional 10 / 100
Alianza Atl. 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Binacional Alianza Atl.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza Atl. has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Binacional remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Binacional scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Binacional VS Alianza Atl.
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Binacional
(Home) 25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
04 Sept
Sport Huancayo 2
7 : 0 Binacional
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1 Binacional
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
07 Aug
Binacional
1 : 8 Union Minas
26 Jul
Binacional
0 : 3 Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 4
Alianza Atl.
(Away) 27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
15 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 1 Alianza Atl.
02 Aug
A. Lima
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 29:13 | 40 |
| 2 | Cusco | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 29:15 | 36 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 31 |
| 4 | A. Lima | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Los Chankas | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 21:28 | 27 |
| 7 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | 26 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:21 | 25 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | 25 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:12 | 23 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28:28 | 18 |
| 13 | Alianza Huanuco | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23:33 | 17 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | 16 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14:25 | 16 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16:29 | 14 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 1 2025 (Play Offs)
