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Binacional vs Cienciano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina, Juliaca
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Colunga N.
88' Event
Arias Fierro S. D.
90'
Condena A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Binacional
30%
Draws
41%
Cienciano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Binacional haven't matched Cienciano's recent run of results.
  • Cienciano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cienciano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cienciano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Binacional Clean Sheet 10%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binacional Cienciano
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.81 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Binacional vs Cienciano
0:2
May 19, 2025 Liga 1
Binacional vs Cienciano
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 Liga 1
Binacional vs Cienciano
2:2
Apr 22, 2023 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Binacional
1:1
Jul 27, 2022 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Binacional
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binacional Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Colunga N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arias Fierro S. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.42
Avg xA / game 1.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binacional 10 / 100
Cienciano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binacional Cienciano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cienciano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cienciano has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Binacional has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Binacional scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Binacional VS Cienciano
0.71 Goals Scored 1.88
3.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Binacional

(Home)
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
04 Sept
Sport Huancayo 2
7 : 0
Binacional
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

Cienciano

(Away)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Atl. 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Carlos Mannucci 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 A. Lima 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Cesar Vallejo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Juan Pablo II 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Comerciantes Unidos 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cajamarca 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Llacuabamba 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 FC Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Grau 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Pirata 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Universitario de Deportes 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 AD Tarma 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Alianza Huanuco 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Union Minas 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Binacional 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Cusco 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Chankas 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Santos FC 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Ayacucho 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moquegua 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Tacna Heroica 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FBC Melgar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Boys 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 AD Cantolao 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 U. San Martin 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Comerciantes FC 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Union Comercio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Estudiantil CNI 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)