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Binefar vs La Almunia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Chicho
16' Event
De Mesa Garrido A.
60' Event
Querol G.

AI Match Summary

Binefar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binefar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Binefar
15%
Draws
31%
La Almunia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binefar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Binefar have won more games recently than La Almunia.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Binefar Clean Sheet 68%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binefar La Almunia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.96 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs La Almunia
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Binefar
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs La Almunia
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Binefar
1:2
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs La Almunia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binefar Compare

Top Goalscorer Chicho
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Mesa Garrido A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

La Almunia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binefar 41 / 100
La Almunia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binefar La Almunia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binefar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binefar's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: La Almunia conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Binefar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Binefar VS La Almunia
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Binefar

(Home)
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4
Binefar
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3
Binefar
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Tamarite
1 : 2
Binefar
Page 1 of 6

La Almunia

(Away)
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2
Huesca B
09 May
Robres
0 : 1
La Almunia
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1
Epila
26 Apr
CD Belchite 97
1 : 2
La Almunia
19 Apr
La Almunia
0 : 1
Andorra CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)