Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Binissalem and Arenal finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Binissalem
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Binissalem carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Binissalem a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 20%
Arenal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Binissalem | Arenal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Binissalem
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Arenal
1:0
Jan 22, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Arenal
2:2
Sep 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Binissalem
0:1
Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Arenal
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Binissalem 58 / 100
Arenal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Binissalem Arenal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Binissalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arenal let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Away concern: Arenal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Binissalem scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Binissalem VS Arenal
1 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Binissalem
(Home) 12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3 Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1 Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0 CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1 Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2 Mallorca B
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12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3 Cardassar
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0 CD Son Cladera
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2 Mallorca B
12 Apr
Binissalem
1 : 1 Formentera
28 Mar
Binissalem
2 : 0 Llosetense
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Arenal
(Away) 12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2 Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0 Arenal
05 May
Arenal
2 : 2 Alcudia
01 May
Soller
3 : 3 Arenal
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05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0 Arenal
01 May
Soller
3 : 3 Arenal
20 Apr
Manacor
3 : 1 Arenal
07 Apr
Portmany
0 : 0 Arenal
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 51:23 | 79 |
| 2 | UD Poblense | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 71:44 | 78 |
| 3 | Constancia | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 62:25 | 78 |
| 4 | Binissalem | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 63:30 | 76 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 70:44 | 75 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 53:25 | 69 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53:43 | 63 |
| 8 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 47:36 | 54 |
| 9 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 55:45 | 52 |
| 10 | Collerense | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40:49 | 47 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 46:58 | 46 |
| 12 | Ferriolense | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 48:55 | 44 |
| 13 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 43:52 | 44 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:56 | 42 |
| 16 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | 41 |
| 17 | Alaior | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 35:61 | 38 |
| 18 | Penya Arrabal | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 45:78 | 27 |
| 19 | Norteno CF | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 24:56 | 27 |
| 20 | Arenal | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 32:66 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
