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Stadium Background

Binissalem vs Atletico Rafal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Binissalem in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binissalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Binissalem
30%
Draws
23%
Atletico Rafal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Binissalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Binissalem have won more games recently than Atletico Rafal.
  • Win probability leans Binissalem's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Binissalem here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Atletico Rafal
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.92 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Atletico Rafal
1:0
Aug 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Binissalem
0:1
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Atletico Rafal
2:0
Oct 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Binissalem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 85 / 100
Atletico Rafal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Atletico Rafal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binissalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Rafal has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Binissalem scored in 64% of their last 39 outings.

Atletico Rafal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 8

Atletico Rafal

(Away)
17 May
UD Poblense
9 : 1
Atletico Rafal
09 May
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2
CD Son Cladera
03 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 0
Atletico Rafal
26 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2
Mercadal
18 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 1
Atletico Rafal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 38 25 8 5 90:27 83
2 Pena Deportiva 38 24 8 6 75:33 80
3 Formentera 38 24 8 6 58:27 80
4 Binissalem 38 18 13 7 56:31 67
5 Mercadal 38 19 8 11 55:53 65
6 UD Poblense 38 17 13 8 60:35 64
7 Alcudia 38 16 12 10 59:41 60
8 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 17 3 18 47:51 54
9 Llosetense 38 15 9 14 54:53 54
10 Manacor 38 14 11 13 63:62 53
11 Collerense 38 16 5 17 60:60 53
12 Platges de Calvia 38 12 13 13 41:40 49
13 Campos 38 12 11 15 51:54 47
14 Ferriolense 38 12 9 17 41:50 45
15 Atletico Rafal 38 10 12 16 42:65 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 10 10 18 47:60 40
17 CD Montuiri 38 10 8 20 42:53 38
18 Rotlet Molinar 38 11 4 23 43:84 37
19 Felanitx 38 6 8 24 27:65 26
20 Santanyi 38 2 7 29 26:93 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)