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Binissalem vs Esporles

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Binissalem Logo

Binissalem

2 - 1
FT
Esporles Logo

Esporles

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Binissalem and Esporles finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binissalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Binissalem
20%
Draws
16%
Esporles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Binissalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Binissalem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Binissalem a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 68%
Esporles Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Esporles
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 1
Draws 14 6
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.1 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.95 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Esporles
2:1
Nov 7, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Binissalem
2:2
Apr 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Esporles
0:0
Nov 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Binissalem
2:4
Feb 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Esporles
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 95 / 100
Esporles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Esporles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binissalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporles has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Binissalem found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (39 games).

Esporles lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
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Esporles

(Away)
20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2
Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0
Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3
Soller
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 20 13 5 2 38:11 44
2 Andratx 20 14 2 4 35:17 44
3 Constancia 20 10 5 5 24:14 35
4 Manacor 20 9 7 4 26:20 34
5 Portmany 20 9 3 8 29:26 30
6 Collerense 20 8 5 7 28:26 29
7 Soller 20 6 5 9 21:36 23
8 Cardassar 20 5 7 8 20:28 22
9 Felanitx 20 5 4 11 29:32 19
10 Ferriolense 20 3 4 13 14:32 13
11 Genova 20 2 5 13 19:41 11
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Platges de Calvia 20 13 6 1 31:13 45
2 PE Sant Jordi 20 12 5 3 33:17 41
3 Formentera 20 12 3 5 36:20 39
4 Mallorca B 20 11 5 4 34:10 38
5 Santanyi 20 11 2 7 23:12 35
6 El Espinar Sant Rafel 20 5 7 8 25:24 22
7 Llosetense 20 6 4 10 17:28 22
8 Alcudia 20 5 6 9 17:32 21
9 Santa Catalina Atletico 20 4 5 11 12:30 17
10 Binissalem 20 2 9 9 17:24 15
11 Esporles 20 1 4 15 15:50 7
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)