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Binissalem vs Felanitx

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Binissalem
15%
Draws
36%
Felanitx
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binissalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Felanitx haven't matched Binissalem's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Binissalem taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 68%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Felanitx
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.83 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Felanitx
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Binissalem
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Binissalem
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Felanitx
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Felanitx
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 95 / 100
Felanitx 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Felanitx

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binissalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Felanitx let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Felanitx registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Binissalem's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS Felanitx
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2
Mallorca B
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Felanitx

(Away)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)