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Binissalem vs Ferriolense

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Binissalem and Ferriolense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binissalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Binissalem
15%
Draws
36%
Ferriolense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binissalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Binissalem come out ahead of Ferriolense on wins alone.
  • Binissalem are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 20%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Ferriolense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Binissalem
0:1
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Ferriolense
3:2
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Binissalem
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Ferriolense
3:0
May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Ferriolense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 36 / 100
Ferriolense 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Ferriolense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferriolense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Binissalem scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Ferriolense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2
Mallorca B
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Ferriolense

(Away)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
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