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Binissalem vs Mallorca B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pena A.
32' Event
Jaume M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Binissalem and Mallorca B finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mallorca B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Binissalem
30%
Draws
39%
Mallorca B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mallorca B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Binissalem haven't matched Mallorca B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Binissalem's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mallorca B here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 10%
Mallorca B Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Mallorca B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.8 2.52
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Mallorca B
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Binissalem
3:0
Mar 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Binissalem
4:0
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Mallorca B
0:1
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Binissalem
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binissalem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mallorca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaume M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 34 / 100
Mallorca B 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Mallorca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Binissalem scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Mallorca B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Binissalem stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS Mallorca B
0.75 Goals Scored 3.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2
Mallorca B
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Mallorca B

(Away)
13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3
Baleares
29 Jul
Mallorca B
1 : 0
Sant Andreu
25 Jul
Baleares
2 : 1
Mallorca B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)