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Binissalem vs Sineu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Movilla D.
45' Event
Mestre A.
66' Event
Movilla D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Binissalem and Sineu finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binissalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Binissalem
15%
Draws
0%
Sineu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binissalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sineu haven't matched Binissalem's recent run of results.
  • Binissalem are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 20%
Sineu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Sineu
Matches Played 32 5
Wins 12 0
Draws 8 0
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.97 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Sineu
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binissalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Movilla D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mestre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sineu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 85 / 100
Sineu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Sineu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binissalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sineu has conceded goals in 100% of their last 5 outings.

Sineu lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Binissalem found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS Sineu
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
03 Oct
Binissalem
3 : 0
Sineu
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 7

Sineu

(Away)
03 Oct
Binissalem
3 : 0
Sineu
27 Sept
Sineu
1 : 4
Manacor
20 Sept
SD Ibiza
1 : 0
Sineu
12 Sept
Sineu
2 : 4
PE Sant Jordi
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)