Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Birkirkara vs Nadur

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2022/2023 Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali
Birkirkara Logo

Birkirkara

4 - 0
FT
Nadur Logo

Nadur

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Iorio O.
41' Event
Yankam Y.
51' Event
Lecao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Birkirkara in this FA Trophy 2022/2023 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Birkirkara
15%
Draws
26%
Nadur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkirkara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nadur have won more games recently than Birkirkara.
  • Birkirkara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Nadur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkirkara, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Birkirkara have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Birkirkara Clean Sheet 20%
Nadur Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkirkara Nadur
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 9 0
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.33 2.53
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 FA Trophy
Birkirkara vs Nadur
4:0
Dec 1, 2019 FA Trophy
Birkirkara vs Nadur
1:0
Dec 2, 2018 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Birkirkara
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birkirkara Compare

Top Goalscorer Iorio O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yankam Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nadur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkirkara 85 / 100
Nadur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkirkara Nadur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birkirkara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Birkirkara scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Nadur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Birkirkara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Birkirkara VS Nadur
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkirkara

(Home)
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
12 Sept
Birkirkara
1 : 1
Hibernians
06 Sept
Sliema
2 : 1
Birkirkara
30 Aug
Mosta FC
1 : 0
Birkirkara
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0
Hamrun
Page 1 of 7

Nadur

(Away)
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0
Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4
Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1
Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2
Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Kalkara 0
Tarxien 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Vittoriosa 1
Valletta -
TBD -
St. Andrews 0
Zabbar 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 5
Qrendi 0
Marsa 2
Melita 3
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Swieqi 3
Fgura 0
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pieta -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Lija 0
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Attard 3
Birzebbuga 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Marsaskala FC 2
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 1
Qala Saints 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 5
Oratory 1
Sirens -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 4
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 4
Nadur 0
Valletta 5
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Melita 0
Mosta FC 3
Swieqi 1
Zebbug 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 0
San Gwann 3
Mgarr 1
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 1
Attard 2
Kercem Ajax 8
Floriana 0
Santa Lucia 1
Zejtun 0
Marsaxlokk 5
Gzira 2
Sliema 0
Mtarfa 1
Qala Saints 2
Gudja 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 0
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 2
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Swieqi 1
Pieta 0
San Gwann 2
Hibernians 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Santa Lucia 0
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 3
Qala Saints 0
Gudja 1
Sirens 0
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 0
Mosta FC 5
San Gwann 0
Hibernians 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Gzira 2
Gudja 1
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 4
Mosta FC 3
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 1
Final
Birkirkara 2
Marsaxlokk 0