Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Coppola A.
70'
70'
Vrcic J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Birkirkara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pieta lately — more wins on the board than Birkirkara.
- Birkirkara are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Pieta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Birkirkara, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Birkirkara have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Birkirkara Clean Sheet 12%
Pieta Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Birkirkara | Pieta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.98 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2026 FA Trophy
Birkirkara vs Pieta
2:0
Apr 14, 2023 Premier League
Birkirkara vs Pieta
3:2
Dec 4, 2022 Premier League
Pieta vs Birkirkara
1:5
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Birkirkara vs Pieta
1:2
Jan 18, 2019 Premier League
Birkirkara vs Pieta
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Birkirkara Compare
Top Goalscorer Coppola A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vrcic J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49
Pieta Compare
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Birkirkara 40 / 100
Pieta 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Birkirkara Pieta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Birkirkara found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Pieta let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.
Recent resilience: Birkirkara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Birkirkara VS Pieta
0.63 Goals Scored 2.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Birkirkara
(Home) 17 Aug
Birkirkara
4 : 0 Gzira
07 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 1 Balzan FC
01 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0 Marsaxlokk
25 Jul
Birkirkara
2 : 3 Sliema
18 Jul
Birkirkara
2 : 1 Zabbar
Page 1 of 6
17 Aug
Birkirkara
4 : 0 Gzira
07 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 1 Balzan FC
01 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0 Marsaxlokk
25 Jul
Birkirkara
2 : 3 Sliema
18 Jul
Birkirkara
2 : 1 Zabbar
Page 1 of 4
Pieta
(Away) 19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2 St. Andrews
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4 Pieta
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4 Pieta
17 Mar
Pieta
0 : 1 Melita
14 Mar
Birzebbuga
2 : 2 Pieta
Page 1 of 7
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4 Pieta
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4 Pieta
14 Mar
Birzebbuga
2 : 2 Pieta
04 Mar
Swieqi
0 : 1 Pieta
25 Feb
Birkirkara
2 : 0 Pieta
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1
