Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City

USA USA

USL Championship Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hope-Gund R.
Assist: Hernandez-Foster K.
24' Event
Pasher T.
(Penalty)
31'
Silva T.

AI Match Summary

Detroit City in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Detroit City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Birmingham Legion
33%
Draws
40%
Detroit City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Detroit City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Detroit City lately — more wins on the board than Birmingham Legion.
  • Model gives Detroit City a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 16%
Detroit City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham Legion Detroit City
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 6 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City
1:2
May 18, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City
0:1
Jun 26, 2024 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birmingham Legion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Detroit City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hope-Gund R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morris B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham Legion 28 / 100
Detroit City 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham Legion Detroit City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham Legion's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Detroit City has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Birmingham Legion has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Birmingham Legion VS Detroit City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham Legion

(Home)
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
FC Tulsa
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1
Birmingham Legion
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2
Detroit City
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1
Loudoun United
17 Jun
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6

Detroit City

(Away)
25 Jul
Detroit City
0 : 1
Las Vegas Lights
18 Jul
Detroit City
2 : 0
Indy Eleven
11 Jul
Fort Wayne
1 : 2
Detroit City
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2
Detroit City
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1
Louisville City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay17105228:1535
2Charleston1783632:2427
3Detroit City1683523:1527
4Louisville City1783628:2627
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1772819:2023
6Rhode Island1564525:1822
7Indy Eleven1563618:1721
8Miami FC1856722:2921
9Hartford Athletic1648412:1420
10Loudoun United1629519:2915
11Birmingham Legion1628617:2114
12Brooklyn FC1634917:2713
13Sporting Jax18151223:468
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1787227:1931
2San Antonio FC1777322:1928
3FC Tulsa1675419:1626
4Colorado Springs1674528:2325
5New Mexico1473419:1524
6Sacramento Republic1565419:1523
7Lexington1664624:2022
8El Paso Locomotive1664627:2522
9Las Vegas Lights1663724:2621
10Phoenix Rising1756623:2421
11Oakland Roots1756625:2721
12Monterey Bay17431017:2715
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)