Sport Picks
Birmingham Legion vs FC Tulsa
USA
USL Cup Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL 
Match Events
28'
28'
Vassell P.
Assist: Tregarthen S.
33'
33'
Dorsey L.
41'
41'
Batista L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Birmingham Legion advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Birmingham Legion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Tulsa come out ahead of Birmingham Legion on wins alone.
- Model gives Birmingham Legion a 80% chance of winning this.
- FC Tulsa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Birmingham Legion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 68%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Birmingham Legion | FC Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup
Birmingham Legion vs FC Tulsa
3:1
Sep 7, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion
1:1
Jun 1, 2025 USL Cup
FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion
1:2
May 4, 2024 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs FC Tulsa
2:2
Aug 24, 2023 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Birmingham Legion Compare
Top Goalscorer Vassell P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Williams R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
FC Tulsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Dorsey L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Birmingham Legion 86 / 100
FC Tulsa 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Birmingham Legion FC Tulsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Birmingham Legion scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Birmingham Legion remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
FC Tulsa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Birmingham Legion VS FC Tulsa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Birmingham Legion
(Home) 12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Detroit City
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Loudoun United
17 Jun
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Detroit City
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Loudoun United
14 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
10 Jun
Birmingham Legion
3 : 0 Corpus Christi FC
Page 1 of 3
FC Tulsa
(Away) 19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
21 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0 Monterey Bay
13 Jun
Charleston
5 : 1 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
13 Jun
Charleston
5 : 1 FC Tulsa
31 May
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
17 May
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1 FC Tulsa
03 May
Monterey Bay
1 : 2 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spokane Velocity | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club Boise | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Lights | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 6 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Springs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Corpus Christi FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Lexington | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Union Omaha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 6 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 1 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Rhode Island | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Brooklyn FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 5 | New York Cosmos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Westchester SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Charleston | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Greenville Triumph | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Loudoun United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Miami FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Sporting Jax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Sarasota Paradise | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Naples | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams