Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island

USA USA

USL Championship Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL
Birmingham Legion Logo

Birmingham Legion

1 - 0
FT
Rhode Island Logo

Rhode Island

Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Diarbian G. In: McCartney D.
Out: Diarbian G.
63' Event
Damus R.
70'
Sub
Sanchez A. In: Tsukada Y.
Out: Sanchez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Birmingham Legion and Rhode Island finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Birmingham Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Birmingham Legion
35%
Draws
35%
Rhode Island
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rhode Island carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham Legion Rhode Island
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island
1:0
May 2, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion
1:3
Aug 20, 2025 USL Cup
Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion
1:1
May 15, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birmingham Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Damus R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Rhode Island Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham Legion 30 / 100
Rhode Island 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham Legion Rhode Island

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Birmingham Legion scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Rhode Island has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Birmingham Legion remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Birmingham Legion VS Rhode Island
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham Legion

(Home)
23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0
Brooklyn FC
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0
Birmingham Legion
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4
New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2
Charleston
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2
Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6

Rhode Island

(Away)
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2
Miami FC
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1
Louisville City
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
Rhode Island
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1
Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 26 15 7 4 45:23 52
2 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
3 Detroit City 25 11 8 6 29:19 41
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
6 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
7 Indy Eleven 25 9 6 10 32:31 33
8 Rhode Island 24 9 5 10 35:28 32
9 Miami FC 26 7 9 10 32:43 30
10 Birmingham Legion 25 4 11 10 36:42 23
11 Loudoun United 25 4 11 10 31:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 25 4 6 15 25:49 18
13 Sporting Jax 26 3 5 18 31:69 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 26 14 5 7 45:32 47
2 New Mexico 25 12 7 6 39:30 43
3 Lexington 26 12 4 10 46:32 40
4 Sacramento Republic 25 10 10 5 33:22 40
5 Colorado Springs 26 11 6 9 40:37 39
6 Orange County SC 26 10 9 7 35:40 39
7 FC Tulsa 25 10 8 7 30:24 38
8 San Antonio FC 26 9 11 6 29:28 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 25 9 6 10 32:35 33
10 Oakland Roots 26 8 9 9 33:35 33
11 Phoenix Rising 26 8 9 9 35:38 33
12 Monterey Bay 26 4 6 16 27:46 18
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)