Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Birmingham U23 vs Stoke City U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Birmingham U23 Logo

Birmingham U23

1 - 1
FT
Stoke City U23 Logo

Stoke City U23

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Oppong C. In: dos Reis L.
Out: Oppong C.
52' Event
Humphries O.
Assist: dos Reis L.
61'
Sub
Malone D. In: McCarthy M.
Out: Malone D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Birmingham U23 and Stoke City U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Birmingham U23
15%
Draws
46%
Stoke City U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stoke City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Stoke City U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Birmingham U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Stoke City U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham U23 Stoke City U23
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.39 1.56
Goals Conceded 2 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2022 Premier League 2
Birmingham U23 vs Stoke City U23
1:1
Aug 16, 2021 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Birmingham U23
2:1
Feb 10, 2017 Premier League Cup
Stoke City U23 vs Birmingham U23
0:0
Nov 5, 2016 Premier League Cup
Birmingham U23 vs Stoke City U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birmingham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Humphries O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

Stoke City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.47
Avg xA / game 0.9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham U23 31 / 100
Stoke City U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham U23 Stoke City U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Birmingham U23 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Stoke City U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Birmingham U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Birmingham U23 VS Stoke City U23
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham U23

(Home)
02 Jul
Hednesford
3 : 5
Birmingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3
Nottingham U23
25 Apr
Sunderland U23
2 : 1
Birmingham U23
01 Apr
Fulham U23
3 : 0
Birmingham U23
21 Mar
Birmingham U23
2 : 1
Norwich U23
Page 1 of 7

Stoke City U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Taunton Town
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
23 May
Wolves U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Stoke City U23
2 : 1
West Brom U23
25 Apr
Wolves U23
2 : 2
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)