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Birmingham W vs Crystal Palace W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2 2025/2026 St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Birmingham W Logo

Birmingham W

1 - 3
FT
Crystal Palace W Logo

Crystal Palace W

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Blanchard A.
Assist: Sharpe M.
44' Event
Larkin A.
Assist: Weerden A.
46'
Sub
Sarri V. In: Hurtre O.
Out: Sarri V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace W in this WSL 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crystal Palace W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Birmingham W
30%
Draws
62%
Crystal Palace W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crystal Palace W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crystal Palace W lately — more wins on the board than Birmingham W.
  • 62% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Crystal Palace W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Birmingham W Clean Sheet 10%
Crystal Palace W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham W Crystal Palace W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.2 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 WSL
Birmingham W vs Crystal Palace W
3:3
Feb 16, 2026 WSL 2
Birmingham W vs Crystal Palace W
1:3
Dec 7, 2025 WSL 2
Crystal Palace W vs Birmingham W
3:0
Apr 14, 2024 WSL 2
Crystal Palace W vs Birmingham W
1:0
Sep 3, 2023 WSL 2
Birmingham W vs Crystal Palace W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birmingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtre O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Crystal Palace W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanchard A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larkin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham W 34 / 100
Crystal Palace W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham W Crystal Palace W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crystal Palace W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Birmingham W found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Crystal Palace W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Birmingham W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Birmingham W VS Crystal Palace W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham W

(Home)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
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Crystal Palace W

(Away)
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1
Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Crystal Palace W
3 : 0
Charlton W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Crystal Palace W
1 : 0
Watford W
20 Sept
Crystal Palace W
0 : 7
Tottenham W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham W 22 14 2 6 46:24 44
2 Crystal Palace W 22 13 5 4 44:26 44
3 Charlton W 22 12 6 4 31:21 42
4 Bristol City W 22 11 4 7 47:31 37
5 Southampton FC W 22 10 5 7 44:26 35
6 Newcastle Utd W 22 8 9 5 32:25 33
7 Nottingham W 22 9 3 10 27:35 30
8 Sunderland W 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Ipswich W 22 6 5 11 26:42 23
10 Durham W 22 5 7 10 27:35 22
11 Sheffield Utd W 22 4 6 12 21:43 18
12 Portsmouth W 22 4 2 16 23:53 14
Promotion - WSL (Main)
Promotion - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)